Gold extends losses to a third day

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Gold prices traded lower Tuesday as global-growth concerns and nervousness ahead of the corporate-earnings season preoccupied traders, and as the dollar gathered steam.

Gold for December delivery GCZ2 -0.41%  declined $8.10, or 0.5%, to $1,767.50 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. It earlier traded as low as $1,762 an ounce, and prices had spent most of the session in and out of the red.

Gold was getting mixed messages on Tuesday, said Adam Klopfenstein, a senior marketing strategist with Archer Financial. Some inflationary forces were at play, but amid equity weakness and dollar strength it could not get much traction, he said.

Gold dropped $5.10, or 0.3%, on Monday to settle at $1,775.70 an ounce, after the World Bank downgraded its growth forecast for Chinese growth.

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its forecast for global growth yet again, to 3.3% this year from a forecast of 3.5% made in July. The bank predicted growth of 3.6% in 2013, from a prediction of 3.9% in July.

The bank also said France, Spain and other euro-zone governments won’t meet fiscal targets agreed upon. IMF: key euro-zone nations to miss deficit targets.

The downgrade and the worries made the dollar the safe-haven of choice, crimping gold and other dollar-denominated commodities.

The ICE dollar index DXY +0.54% , which measures the dollar against a basket of six currencies, rose to 79.981, compared with 79.595 in late North American trading on Monday. See: Dollar rises as IMF sounds warning.

Also on Tuesday, the People’s Bank of China injected a big dose of liquidity to help ease tight money conditions.

That move strengthened hopes for more policy easing from the central bank, providing some underlying support for commodities. See: PBOC’s Zhou pledges flexible, pre-emptive policy

Analysts at Commerzbank said in a research note that markets seem to be recognizing that chances of cheap central bank liquidity will improve if global growth continues to slow. Gold has gained this year largely due to central-bank efforts to keep monetary policy loose.

“The chance of unlimited, cheap central bank liquidity and strong exchange-traded-fund inflows suggest that the price might soon rise towards $1,800,” the analysts wrote. Continuing strikes in the South African gold sector are another supportive factor, they noted.

There are strikes at mines owned by AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. AU +0.07%   ZA:ANG +4.62% , Gold Fields Ltd. ZA:GFI +1.95% , and Harmony Gold Mining Co. ZA:HAR +1.91%   HMY -0.05% . Workers from other sectors have also joined the walkouts in recent days.

While South African gold production has been on the wane, the nation was still the fifth-largest gold producer last year, the Commerzbank analysts said.

“Every ounce which is lost to strikes exacerbates the supply bottlenecks, and since the beginning of September, (exchange-traded funds) have been absorbing virtually half of the global mine production during this period,” they said.

South Africa’s strikes are a strain but one that does not impact gold as much as it impacts platinum, Klopfenstein said.

Platinum, 80% of which is mined in South Africa, remains well supported by strikes that continue to spread, lately to Xstrata PLC’s UK:XTA +0.86%  Eland mine.

January platinum futures PLF3 -0.11%  turned lower, however, off $2.10, or 0.1%, to $1,696.70 an ounce, while palladium for December delivery PAZ2 +0.21%  rose $2.35, or 0.4%, to $659.30 an ounce.

Silver went back to the red, with the December contract SIZ2 -0.05%  down 8 cents, or 0.3%, to $33.93 an ounce.

December copper futures HGZ2 +0.01%  rose less than 1 cent, or 0.1%, to $3.72 a pound