By Myra P. Saefong and Carla Mozee, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Gold futures sank Friday, poised to settle at their lowest level since July 2011, as recent cuts to price forecasts continued to hurt sentiment, prompting investors to lose confidence in gold as a safe-haven investment.
Gold for June delivery GCM3 -4.28% extended losses after downbeat U.S. retail-sales data, dropping $67.30, or 4.3%, to $1,497.60 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, on track for a weekly fall of nearly 5%.
“It’s pure panic bedlam on enormous volume,” said Gene Arensberg, editor of the Got Gold Report.
Based on most-active contracts, prices haven’t settled at a level this low since July of 2011.
Gold also fell along with other commodities as the dollar rose on a weak batch of U.S. data and as the psychological impact of potential selling of the precious metal from Cyprus continued to take a toll.
Gold these days “does not seem to respond adequately to the current financial and geopolitical situation,” said Frederic Panizzutti, senior vice president at MKS Group. “The rumors yesterday about Cyprus possibly selling some gold from its Central Bank reserves had a psychological impact resulting in some selling despite the fact that the amount of gold being mentioned could easily be absorbed by the market.”
Cyprus remained in the headlines Friday amid speculation the government was going to ask for more bailout money, which rattled commodities and underpinned the dollar. The country denied it would seek more help.
But despite the troubles in Cyprus, which are usually supportive for gold as a safe haven, investors have focused on Goldman Sachs’s cut to its gold forecast for 2013 to $1,545 an ounce, down from a prior forecast of $1,610. And minutes of the latest Federal Reserve meeting showed members were at odds about when to stop quantitative easing.
“The speculative funds are near-record short gold futures, so it is easy to understand why Goldman would make such a call, but with the trouble heating up in Europe again, and bonds being bid higher today, the move in gold is somewhat counterintuitive,” said Arensberg.
Overall, gold investors have now created an illusion that the metal is no longer a safe haven and that more declines are in the offing, said Chintan Karnani, an independent bullion analyst based in New Delhi.
More pressure
Also weighing on the dollar-denominated metal Wednesday, the dollar got a bid after poor U.S. economic data. Retail sales dropped by the biggest amount in nine months, falling 0.4% as Americans spent less at gasoline stations and many other stores in March, and exceeding the 0.1% drop that was expected. Oil prices also fell after that data was released.
The dollar index DXY -0.0024% , which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, rose to 82.267 from 82.153 seen in North American trading late Thursday.
Other data showed producer prices falling sharply in March.
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