Thursday, September 10, 2015

Gold prices gain in Asia as China CPI rise noted

Investing.com - Gold prices gained in Asia on Thursday with regional data sets noted, particularly a rise in consumer prices in China.
In China consumer prices rose 0.5%, higher than the 0.4% gain seen in August and producer prices fell 5.9%, ore than the expected drop of 5.5% year-on-year.
Earlier, in Australia the overall unemployment rate fell to 6.2% as expected from from 6.3% and 11,500 jobs were added, compared to an expected 5,000 under a participation rate of 65% as seen.
Japan's corporate goods price index for August fell 0.6%, compared to a 0.4% fall seen month-on-month, while core machinery orders dipped 3.6% in July month-on-month, well off the 3.7% gain seen.
And the New Zealand dollar slumped in Asia on Thursday after the central bank, as expected, cut its overnight cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%.
On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold for December delivery rose 0.33% to $1,105.60 a troy ounce, wjhile silver for December delivery fell 0.04% to $14.570 a troy ounce.
Copper for December delivery rose 0.39% to $2.432 a pound.
Overnight, gold futures fell sharply on Wednesday suffering its largest one-day fall in more than six weeks, amid a broadly stronger dollar and the introduction of further stimulus measures by China to rekindle its flagging economy.
In Beijing, China's finance ministry said it would introduce "more forceful" fiscal measures in order to boost slowing economic growth, which is projected to remain at the lowest level in more than a decade for the third quarter. The measures include a potential tax cut for small business, as well as the allocation of funding for infrastructure projects. As part of the proposal, the ministry approved two railway projects worth nearly 70 billion yuan or $11 billion.
“We will accelerate the implementation and improvement of proactive fiscal policy and related measures, do timely fine tuning, and speed up reform measures to support stable growth and promote continued healthy economic development,” the finance ministry said in a statement.
It came one day after China announced that its dollar-denominated exports fell sharply by 5.5% on a year-over-year basis in August, exacerbating concerns about persisting weakness in the world's second-largest economy. Imports, meanwhile, tumbled 13.8% on a yearly basis, producing a trade surplus of $60.24 billion. On Wednesday, theShanghai Composite index closed 2.3% higher extending gains from one session earlier. China is the world's largest producer of gold and the second-largest consumer behind India.
In the U.S., the Labor Department said on Wednesday in its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that nationwide openings increased to a new series high in July, reaching a level of 5.8 million. The survey previously rose to a series-high in May when it reached a level of 5.4 million. The job openings rate surged 3.9% in July, after measuring at 3.6% the previous three months. It also came off the back of a mixed employment report for August on Friday when the labor market added 173,000 non-farm payrolls, while the unemployment rate dropped to 5.1%, its lowest level since April, 2008. The data could strengthen arguments from the hawks at the Federal Reserve for a September interest rate hike.
Gold, which is not attached to dividends or interest rates, struggles to compete with high-yield bearing assets in raising rate environments.
On Tuesday, World Bank chief economist Kaushik Basu warned that a rate hike by the Fed next week could trigger a widespread crisis in emerging markets, pushing capital away from their economies and potentially creating sharp fluctuations in their currencies. Officials from the International Monetary Fund have issued similar warnings in recent weeks on the severe ramifications a rate hike could have on global markets that are not in the position to absorb a tightening of monetary policy from the U.S. central bank.

UPDATE 2-Oil prices fall as Asia's leading economies slow further

* ANZ bank lowers global growth forecast
* Japan's machinery orders shrink
* China's producer price index falls 42nd straight month
* Brazil downgraded to junk status (Adds growth comment, updates prices)
By Henning Gloystein
SINGAPORE, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Thursday as weak Japanese and Chinese economic data fuelled concerns that low levels of investment could further erode already slowing global growth.
Japan's core machinery orders fell 3.6 percent in July, official data showed, much worse than a 3.7 percent increase expected by economists, and followed a 7.9 percent month-on-month decline in June.
In Asia's biggest economy China, the producer price index fell 5.9 percent in August from the same period last year, its 42nd consecutive month of decline and the biggest drop since the depths of the global financial crisis in late 2009, data showed on Thursday.
With many economies facing headwinds, ANZ bank said global growth for 2016 and 2017 would hold around 3.5 percent, revised down from the 4 percent it had previously forecast.
ANZ added that "in the near term the risks are skewed to further downward revision."
Benchmark Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 fell by around 1 percent to $47.09 per barrel at 0433 GMT. U.S. crude futures CLc1 were down 0.8 percent at $43.79 a barrel.
Oil prices have fallen by more than 50 percent since June 2014 as soaring output clashed with slowing economies in Asia, the main growth engine for commodities over the previous years.
The weakening in Asia's economies and commodity demand is having far-reaching effects.
On Wednesday, Standard & Poor's downgraded Brazil to a junk-grade credit rating, just seven years after it first won an investment-grade rating. Brazil, one of the main commodity exporters to China and a member of the so-called BRICS emerging economies - Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa - was until recently seen as one of the key drivers of the global economy.
The oil price fall was compounded after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), led by Saudi Arabia, decided last November to keep output high in favour of market share over prices.
"In the first half of 2015, Saudi Arabia exported on average 4.4 million barrels per day (b/d) of crude oil to seven major trading partners in Asia, making up more than half of Saudi Arabia's total crude oil exports over that period," the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said.
"Even as global crude oil prices fell in 2014 and 2015, Saudi Arabia increased production and kept its export levels high, enabling it to maintain its market share in these countries," the EIA added. (Editing by Kenneth Maxwell and Tom Hogue)

नई सोयाबीन की आवक शुरू, कीमतों में गिरावट की आशंका

नई दिल्ली। समय से दो हफ्ते पहले ही सोयाबीन की आवक शुरु हो गई है। इसका नकारात्मक असर सोयाबीन की कीमतों पर देखने को मिल सकता है। सोमवार को इंदौर में 4 टन नई सोयाबीन की आवक हुई। कारोबारियों के मुताबिक इसमें नमी की मात्रा 20-30 फीसदी है। सोमवार को 3300-3350 रुपए प्रति क्विंटल के भाव सोयाबीन बिका। एक्सपर्ट्स के मुताबिक आने वाले दिनो में सोयाबीन की आवक और बढ़ेगी, जिसके कारण कीमतें फिसल सकती है।
आने वाले दिनों में बढ़ेगी आवक
इंदौर ट्रेडर्स एसोसिएशन के प्रसिडेंट एन के अग्रवाल ने कहा कि खरीफ सीजन के दौरान समय से पहले सोयाबीन की बुआई हुई। इसलिए आवक समय से पहले शुरु हो गई है। नई फसल की की क्वालिटी अच्छी है। वहीं पिछले सीजन का सोयाबीन 3300 रुपए प्रति क्विंटल के भाव बिका।
एन के अग्रवाल ने बताया कि अगले एक हफ्ते के दौरान दूसरी मंडियों में भी सोयाबीन की आवक शुरु हो जाएगी। अगले 5 स 6 दिनो में नई सोयाबीन की आवक बढ़कर 50-100 टन पहुंच सकती है। वहीं सितंबर के अंतिम हफ्ते में आवक पूरे जोरों पर होगी।
आवक बढ़ने से कीमतों पर दबाव
इंदौर के सोयाबीन कारोबारी महेंद्र जैन ने कहा कि पिछले साल मानसून में देरी की वजह से इस समय तक सोयाबीन की आवक शुरु नहीं हुई थी। नई फसल की आवक समय से पहले शुरु होने से कीमतों पर दबाव बन सकता है। कृषि मंत्रालय के आंकड़ों के मुताबिक अबतक देशभर में 115 लाख हेक्टेयर में सोयाबीन की बुआई हुई है, जो कि पिछले साल के मुकाबले 5 फीसदी ज्यादा है। इसके बावजूद कारोबारियों के मुताबिक देश में 100 लाख टन ही उत्पादन होगा।

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